The first Arabian Sea cyclonic storm of 2021 formed on Saturday morning, local time, and AccuWeather forecasters warn that it could bring detrimental impacts to India, which is currently engulfed in the world’s largest COVID-19 outbreak.
Tauktae formed west of India early Saturday morning, local time. By Sunday morning, Tauktae strengthened into a very severe cyclonic storm and is equivalent to a Category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
Due to the expected heavy rain, flooding, strong winds and storm surge, Tauktae will be a 3 on the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Tropical Cyclones.
Tauktae will threaten to unleash flooding rainfall and damaging winds across portions of western and northern India through much of the upcoming week. Depending on the track of the storm, parts of Pakistan could also feel impacts.The timing of the storm amid the COVID-19 outbreak, even if it doesn’t make a direct strike, is not good news for India.
In the past month, India has reported more than 10 million new COVID-19 cases and more than 87,000 fatalities. It has pulled into the second spot globally behind the United States with a pandemic total of more than 23.7 million cases. The western state of Maharashtra has reported more than 5.2 million of those cases, which is more than any other state or province worldwide. Western Maharashtra is one area that can receive heavy rain from the cyclone.Amid the worsening health crisis, India has been regularly setting daily records of more than 400,000 cases that have also turned into global records. The current world record of 414,188 daily cases was set in the country on May 6, 2021. The record high for daily deaths in the country was 4,205 on May 11. India’s death toll since the pandemic began is more than 258,000, which is third behind Brazil (more than 430,000) and the U.S. (more than 584,000), according to Johns Hopkins University.
Many of the new cases have been brought on by a variant of the virus, which is said to be highly contagious. The World Health Organization recently labeled this mutation as a variant of concern and said it poses a global health risk, CNBC reported. Mass gatherings and religious festivals that drew millions of people in recent weeks have been cited as a key factor in the spread.
So far this year, the northern Indian Ocean has been very quiet, aside from a deep depression that formed in the Andaman Sea, near Myanmar and Thailand, in early April.
The development of Tauktae has put an end to this quiet streak in the northern Indian Ocean. Tauktae began as a low pressure area off the coast of southwestern India at midweek and became a deep depression on Friday evening, before strengthening further to a very severe cyclonic storm, according to India’s Meteorological Department.
Tauktae can bring an area of 100-200 mm (4-8 inches) of rain to these areas leading to the threat for flooding, mudslides and washed-out roads. An AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 600 mm (24 inches) is possible in the heaviest and most persistent rain bands. For wind speeds, an AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 190 km/h (120 mph) is possible.As the storm was a deep depression strengthening off the coast of Kerala on Friday, large waves battered the coastline causing water to rush onshore with a several-foot storm surge.
reference-accuweather
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